A PEACE IN CEMETERY.
The Governor Fubara return to office yesterday after six months emergency rule in Rivers State. Wike and Fubara, both men declared that peace has returned to their state. But political watchers the alleged peace that has returned to Rivers State can be likened to the serenity found in a cemetery, where conflicts are buried, and tranquility reigns. After six months of emergency rule imposed by President Bola Tinubu, Governor Siminalayi Fubara declared that peace and stability have been restored to the state. This new found peace is attributed to the reconciliation efforts brokered by the President, which brought together key stakeholders, including Fubara and his predecessor, Nyesom Wike.
Key Aspects of the Peace:
Reconciliation: Fubara and Wike have accepted to “bury the hatchet” and work towards the progress of Rivers State.
Commitment to Peace:
The Governor has emphasized the importance of maintaining peace, stating that “the costliest peace is cheaper than the cheapest war”.
Collaboration:
Fubara has pledged to work harmoniously with the Rivers State House of Assembly to recover lost grounds and accelerate social and economic advancement
Inclusiveness:
The Governor has called on all citizens to join hands in rebuilding the state, regardless of political, religious, or ethnic affiliation.
Challenges Ahead:
Sustaining Peace: The Governor acknowledges that sustaining peace will require continued efforts and commitment from all stakeholders.
Rebuilding
Trust:
Fubara has emphasized the need to rebuild trust and foster inclusiveness to secure a peaceful and prosperous state.
Addressing Governance:
The state will need to address governance challenges and ensure effective legislative-executive cooperation
Overall, the peace that has returned to Rivers State is a fragile one, requiring careful nurturing and commitment from all stakeholders to ensure its sustainability.
CRITICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FUTURE PEACE:
The peace between Wike and Fubara in Rivers State seems fragile, with both leaders seemingly committed to maintaining the truce for now. However, underlying tensions and competing interests may threaten the sustainability of this peace.
Challenges to the Peace
- 2027 Elections:
The power struggle between Wike and Fubara will likely intensify as the 2027 elections approach, with Wike potentially seeking to install a loyal protege and Fubara fighting to secure his own political legacy.
Budget Approval:
The Rivers State House of Assembly’s approval of Fubara’s budget will be a crucial test of the peace, with any amendments or rejection potentially reigniting tensions.
Local Government Elections:
Control of the 23 local government areas is a significant source of power and influence, and disputes over the timing or results of these elections could trigger another crisis.
- Impeachment Threats:
The threat of impeachment hangs over Fubara’s head, and if the legislature revives moves to impeach him or his deputy, the truce will likely collapse.
Key Players’ Positions:
- Wike’s Stance :
Wike has declared that he has forgiven Fubara and is committed to peace, but his actions and words suggest he still wields significant influence and may be positioning himself for future power struggles.
Fubara’s Commitment:
Fubara has pledged to prioritize peace and stability, acknowledging Wike as “our leader” and expressing commitment to reconciliation and inclusiveness.
Uncertainty Ahead:
Given the complex web of interests and alliances, the future of the peace between Wike and Fubara remains uncertain. While both leaders have publicly committed to peace, the underlying tensions and power dynamics may ultimately determine the trajectory of events in Rivers State.
Only time shall tell what is in the offing for Rivers people politically.
Julius Ekhovbiye Onaghise writes from Benin City